As much as I disagree with Dick Morris's politics, I am impressed by his intellect. I admire the calm, articulate way he replies to questions, and he is brilliant at what he does, as evidenced by Bill Clinton's long association with him and the frequency with which he is invited on TV. He always has something cogent and original to say like in the following video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=igcB5vHKo 9k
(for some reason this blog doesn't let mey embed videos like other blogs do)
In the above video Morris asserts that despite what the polls may say now, all of Hillary's voters will support Obama. This is because, he argues, they are older party line democrats. This makes sense because Hillary appeals to lower income whites and traditional partisans, and whites who are concerned about social security, affordable health care, day care, really don't have the luxury to vote for McCain just to get revenge on Obama. They have real problems to be solved and only a Democrat will solve them.
By contrast Obama is bringing new people into the process. Young people who feel inspired and intellectuals and academics. These are people who normally don't vote or are not people with needs, so there's no reason to expect all these people to vote Democrat if Hillary is the nominee. Some will vote Green, many wont vote at all, & a few will vote McCain.
Morris further argues that losing the nomination is the least of Hillary's problems. She is staying in the race mainly because she needs financial support to pay off debt but if she doesn't rally around Obama fast, the blacks will take away even her senate seat in New York. Morris writes an article saying that Hillary's biggest mistake was underestimating the IQ of the average voter. She thought she could spend her senate career triangulating on Iraq, not realizing that voters today are VERY SMART.
|
|
|
Permalink :: 47 Comments :: Post a Comment
|
In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.
If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.